BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SNA→MSP

Santa Ana, CA (SNA) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

80.5% of 580 official scheduled SNA-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 10.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
80.5%arrived on time
10.9%30+ min late
1.7%cancelled
580scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SNA to MSP?

Among qualifying SNA-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.0% of 318 flights. Late morning was lowest at 66.7% across 45 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning31884.0%8.5%2.5%
Late morning4566.7%20.0%2.2%
Afternoon21778.3%12.4%0.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for SNA to MSP?

Among qualifying SNA-to-MSP weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 87.0% of 77 flights. Sunday was lowest at 63.5% across 96 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10281.4%10.8%2.9%
Tuesday5381.1%7.5%3.8%
Wednesday7787.0%6.5%1.3%
Thursday9984.8%9.1%0.0%
Friday10087.0%10.0%0.0%
Saturday5379.2%7.5%3.8%
Sunday9663.5%20.8%2.1%

Which airline was most reliable for SNA to MSP?

Only Delta Air Lines met the SNA-to-MSP airline threshold: 80.5% of 580 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines58080.5%10.9%1.7%

Which month was most reliable for SNA to MSP?

Among qualifying SNA-to-MSP month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 91.7% of 48 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 71.4% across 49 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255278.8%9.6%0.0%
August 20255276.9%17.3%0.0%
September 20255184.3%5.9%0.0%
October 20255388.7%9.4%1.9%
November 20255174.5%13.7%2.0%
December 20254472.7%18.2%4.5%
January 20264475.0%18.2%2.3%
February 20264276.2%14.3%0.0%
March 20264971.4%12.2%8.2%
April 20264783.0%6.4%2.1%
May 20264891.7%2.1%0.0%
June 20264791.5%4.3%0.0%

What drove SNA to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded SNA-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 50.5% of 7,566 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline50.5%
Late aircraft34.5%
National airspace14.7%
Weather0.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.