BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→SNA

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Santa Ana, CA (SNA) flight delay odds

66.2% of 580 official scheduled MSP-to-SNA flights arrived on time; 19.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
66.2%arrived on time
19.8%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
580scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to SNA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SNA departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 71.4% of 217 flights. Evening was lowest at 63.1% across 363 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning21771.4%15.2%0.5%
Evening36363.1%22.6%1.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to SNA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SNA weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 72.0% of 75 flights. Saturday was lowest at 60.4% across 53 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10269.6%14.7%1.0%
Tuesday5367.9%17.0%0.0%
Wednesday7572.0%12.0%0.0%
Thursday10163.4%25.7%0.0%
Friday10065.0%21.0%1.0%
Saturday5360.4%30.2%3.8%
Sunday9664.6%19.8%3.1%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to SNA?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-SNA airline threshold: 66.2% of 580 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines58066.2%19.8%1.2%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to SNA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SNA month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 85.1% of 47 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 39.5% across 43 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255265.4%21.2%0.0%
August 20255271.2%21.2%0.0%
September 20255170.6%19.6%0.0%
October 20255362.3%20.8%1.9%
November 20255164.7%17.6%2.0%
December 20254339.5%39.5%4.7%
January 20264557.8%26.7%0.0%
February 20264266.7%16.7%0.0%
March 20264971.4%12.2%6.1%
April 20264785.1%6.4%0.0%
May 20264883.3%6.2%0.0%
June 20264753.2%31.9%0.0%

What drove MSP to SNA delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-SNA delay category, accounting for 58.3% of 10,867 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline58.3%
Late aircraft15.5%
National airspace22.4%
Weather3.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.