BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SMF→MCO

Sacramento, CA (SMF) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

84.5% of 323 official scheduled SMF-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 5.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
84.5%arrived on time
5.6%30+ min late
0.0%cancelled
323scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late0.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late0.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-2.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SMF to MCO?

Among qualifying SMF-to-MCO departure window results, Night had the highest on-time rate: 87.1% of 249 flights. Late morning was lowest at 72.4% across 58 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning5872.4%6.9%0.0%
Night24987.1%4.8%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for SMF to MCO?

Among qualifying SMF-to-MCO weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 90.7% of 43 flights. Tuesday was lowest at 77.3% across 44 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday4484.1%11.4%0.0%
Tuesday4477.3%0.0%0.0%
Wednesday4390.7%2.3%0.0%
Thursday4488.6%6.8%0.0%
Friday4481.8%9.1%0.0%
Saturday5288.5%1.9%0.0%
Sunday5280.8%7.7%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for SMF to MCO?

Only Southwest Airlines met the SMF-to-MCO airline threshold: 84.5% of 323 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines32384.5%5.6%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for SMF to MCO?

Among qualifying SMF-to-MCO month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 96.7% of 30 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 66.7% across 30 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253187.1%3.2%0.0%
October 20253096.7%0.0%0.0%
November 20253096.7%0.0%0.0%
December 20253193.5%0.0%0.0%
January 20263174.2%9.7%0.0%
February 20262871.4%7.1%0.0%
March 20263190.3%6.5%0.0%
April 20263086.7%6.7%0.0%
May 20263180.6%9.7%0.0%
June 20263066.7%13.3%0.0%

What drove SMF to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SMF-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 56.0% of 1,417 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.7%
Late aircraft56.0%
National airspace21.3%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.