BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SMF→LAX

Sacramento, CA (SMF) to Los Angeles, CA (LAX) flight delay odds

85.6% of 5,637 official scheduled SMF-to-LAX flights arrived on time; 8.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
85.6%arrived on time
8.3%30+ min late
0.4%cancelled
5,637scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SMF to LAX?

Among qualifying SMF-to-LAX departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.1% of 1,529 flights. Night was lowest at 60.0% across 80 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,52991.1%4.5%0.6%
Late morning1,26888.8%6.6%0.6%
Afternoon1,22983.6%9.9%0.6%
Evening1,53180.3%11.2%0.1%
Night8060.0%23.8%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for SMF to LAX?

Among qualifying SMF-to-LAX weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 91.4% of 759 flights. Sunday was lowest at 80.5% across 841 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday84983.2%9.7%0.4%
Tuesday77689.9%5.7%0.3%
Wednesday75991.4%5.0%0.1%
Thursday85584.4%8.5%0.2%
Friday85884.3%8.9%0.6%
Saturday69986.4%8.4%0.7%
Sunday84180.5%11.2%0.8%

Which airline was most reliable for SMF to LAX?

Among qualifying SMF-to-LAX airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 94.9% of 99 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 72.1% across 204 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines3,51789.7%6.0%0.5%
Southwest Airlines1,61677.1%13.2%0.2%
Frontier Airlines20472.1%14.2%2.5%
United Airlines20191.5%5.5%0.0%
Delta Air Lines9994.9%1.0%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for SMF to LAX?

Among qualifying SMF-to-LAX month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 88.0% of 460 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 83.6% across 450 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202551286.5%7.2%0.4%
August 202547087.2%8.3%0.2%
September 202546088.0%6.3%0.2%
October 202551786.8%7.9%0.0%
November 202545683.8%8.1%2.2%
December 202543184.9%8.6%0.5%
January 202642184.1%9.7%1.0%
February 202640285.1%10.0%0.0%
March 202645083.6%10.2%0.2%
April 202647187.5%5.7%0.6%
May 202652585.0%9.1%0.0%
June 202652284.1%8.4%0.2%

What drove SMF to LAX delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SMF-to-LAX delay category, accounting for 41.8% of 51,849 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline39.0%
Late aircraft41.8%
National airspace7.4%
Weather11.7%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.