BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
LAXSMF

Los Angeles, CA (LAX) to Sacramento, CA (SMF) flight delay odds

Historically, 84.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 5,634 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
84.1%arrived on time
9.8%30+ min late
0.4%cancelled
5,634scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,06391.7%5.0%0.6%
Late morning97989.0%6.0%0.7%
Afternoon1,61585.1%8.7%0.1%
Evening1,39978.3%14.0%0.5%
Night57873.7%17.5%0.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday86081.5%12.4%0.2%
Tuesday77688.1%7.3%0.1%
Wednesday75288.7%6.5%0.1%
Thursday85384.3%8.7%0.6%
Friday85382.4%10.4%0.6%
Saturday69985.3%9.4%0.4%
Sunday84179.8%12.8%0.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines3,51787.3%8.2%0.4%
Southwest Airlines1,61478.7%12.8%0.2%
Frontier Airlines20481.9%9.3%2.0%
United Airlines20183.1%8.0%0.0%
Delta Air Lines9866.3%21.4%1.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202551283.2%11.1%0.6%
August 202546985.7%8.7%0.0%
September 202546190.0%5.9%0.2%
October 202551686.4%8.3%0.0%
November 202545583.5%8.4%2.2%
December 202543184.5%8.6%0.7%
January 202641982.6%11.5%1.0%
February 202640384.4%9.9%0.0%
March 202645180.5%12.4%0.0%
April 202647184.3%9.3%0.2%
May 202652582.5%11.6%0.0%
June 202652182.3%11.1%0.2%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline45.4%
Late aircraft39.2%
National airspace5.4%
Weather9.9%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.