BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SMF→DFW

Sacramento, CA (SMF) to Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (DFW) flight delay odds

77.6% of 1,646 official scheduled SMF-to-DFW flights arrived on time; 11.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
77.6%arrived on time
11.8%30+ min late
2.7%cancelled
1,646scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SMF to DFW?

Among qualifying SMF-to-DFW departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.4% of 729 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 68.4% across 358 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning72984.4%7.1%2.5%
Late morning34975.9%13.8%1.7%
Afternoon35868.4%18.4%2.8%
Night21072.9%13.8%5.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for SMF to DFW?

Among qualifying SMF-to-DFW weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 83.9% of 223 flights. Saturday was lowest at 70.8% across 233 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday23977.0%13.0%2.9%
Tuesday23179.2%11.3%2.2%
Wednesday22383.9%6.7%1.8%
Thursday23883.6%7.1%1.3%
Friday23877.7%13.9%2.5%
Saturday23370.8%14.2%3.9%
Sunday24471.7%16.4%4.5%

Which airline was most reliable for SMF to DFW?

Only American Airlines met the SMF-to-DFW airline threshold: 77.6% of 1,646 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,64677.6%11.8%2.7%

Which month was most reliable for SMF to DFW?

Among qualifying SMF-to-DFW month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 85.7% of 112 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 69.3% across 137 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202516471.3%18.9%2.4%
August 202515773.9%12.1%2.5%
September 202512282.0%9.0%0.8%
October 202514578.6%12.4%2.1%
November 202512979.1%8.5%3.1%
December 202513782.5%10.2%0.0%
January 202613173.3%11.5%10.7%
February 202611285.7%4.5%0.0%
March 202613484.3%10.4%0.7%
April 202613580.0%11.1%1.5%
May 202614375.5%11.9%2.8%
June 202613769.3%18.2%5.8%

What drove SMF to DFW delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SMF-to-DFW delay category, accounting for 43.0% of 27,670 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.1%
Late aircraft43.0%
National airspace16.6%
Weather4.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.