BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DFW→SMF

Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (DFW) to Sacramento, CA (SMF) flight delay odds

64.8% of 1,646 official scheduled DFW-to-SMF flights arrived on time; 22.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
64.8%arrived on time
22.5%30+ min late
2.6%cancelled
1,646scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late13.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+18.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for DFW to SMF?

Among qualifying DFW-to-SMF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 82.3% of 345 flights. Night was lowest at 51.3% across 376 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning34582.3%8.7%2.0%
Late morning31974.0%15.4%0.9%
Afternoon17063.5%22.4%2.9%
Evening43656.4%32.1%2.3%
Night37651.3%30.3%4.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for DFW to SMF?

Among qualifying DFW-to-SMF weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 70.4% of 223 flights. Sunday was lowest at 56.7% across 247 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday23561.3%22.6%3.0%
Tuesday23069.6%20.0%3.0%
Wednesday22370.4%16.6%0.0%
Thursday24469.7%20.1%1.6%
Friday23868.1%24.4%2.1%
Saturday22958.5%26.6%5.2%
Sunday24756.7%27.1%3.2%

Which airline was most reliable for DFW to SMF?

Only American Airlines met the DFW-to-SMF airline threshold: 64.8% of 1,646 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,64664.8%22.5%2.6%

Which month was most reliable for DFW to SMF?

Among qualifying DFW-to-SMF month results, March 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 76.9% of 134 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 44.5% across 137 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202516454.3%34.1%2.4%
August 202515653.8%32.7%2.6%
September 202512270.5%17.2%0.8%
October 202514569.0%22.1%2.1%
November 202512969.0%18.6%3.1%
December 202513773.0%15.3%0.0%
January 202613164.1%19.1%11.5%
February 202611271.4%16.1%0.0%
March 202613476.9%19.4%0.0%
April 202613667.6%15.4%0.7%
May 202614369.2%20.3%2.8%
June 202613744.5%34.3%5.1%

What drove DFW to SMF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded DFW-to-SMF delay category, accounting for 51.5% of 38,788 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline37.9%
Late aircraft51.5%
National airspace6.7%
Weather3.9%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.