BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SMF→BNA

Sacramento, CA (SMF) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

89.0% of 346 official scheduled SMF-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 4.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
89.0%arrived on time
4.0%30+ min late
0.3%cancelled
346scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late0.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-0.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SMF to BNA?

Among qualifying SMF-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 94.4% of 107 flights. Late morning was lowest at 84.8% across 92 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning10794.4%1.9%0.9%
Late morning9284.8%4.3%0.0%
Night11889.8%5.1%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for SMF to BNA?

Among qualifying SMF-to-BNA weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 95.3% of 43 flights. Monday was lowest at 79.6% across 49 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday4979.6%8.2%0.0%
Tuesday4588.9%4.4%0.0%
Wednesday4395.3%0.0%0.0%
Thursday4993.9%0.0%0.0%
Friday4989.8%2.0%0.0%
Saturday6193.4%1.6%1.6%
Sunday5082.0%12.0%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for SMF to BNA?

Only Southwest Airlines met the SMF-to-BNA airline threshold: 89.0% of 346 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines34689.0%4.0%0.3%

Which month was most reliable for SMF to BNA?

Among qualifying SMF-to-BNA month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 96.8% of 31 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 80.0% across 35 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253580.0%8.6%0.0%
August 20253293.8%3.1%0.0%
September 20253093.3%3.3%0.0%
October 20253196.8%0.0%0.0%
November 20253090.0%3.3%0.0%
December 20253180.6%3.2%0.0%
February 20261984.2%0.0%0.0%
March 20262993.1%0.0%0.0%
April 20263096.7%3.3%0.0%
May 20263187.1%6.5%0.0%
June 20263485.3%8.8%0.0%

What drove SMF to BNA delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded SMF-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 42.7% of 1,480 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline42.7%
Late aircraft33.9%
National airspace20.7%
Weather0.4%
Security2.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.