BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SJC→MSP

San Jose, CA (SJC) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

89.6% of 509 official scheduled SJC-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 6.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
89.6%arrived on time
6.7%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
509scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-5.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SJC to MSP?

Among qualifying SJC-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 93.4% of 347 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 81.5% across 162 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning34793.4%4.3%0.9%
Afternoon16281.5%11.7%1.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for SJC to MSP?

Among qualifying SJC-to-MSP weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 93.7% of 79 flights. Sunday was lowest at 84.1% across 63 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8188.9%6.2%3.7%
Tuesday7993.7%3.8%0.0%
Wednesday7793.5%5.2%0.0%
Thursday7891.0%7.7%0.0%
Friday7884.6%11.5%1.3%
Saturday5390.6%1.9%0.0%
Sunday6384.1%9.5%1.6%

Which airline was most reliable for SJC to MSP?

Only Delta Air Lines met the SJC-to-MSP airline threshold: 89.6% of 509 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines50989.6%6.7%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for SJC to MSP?

Among qualifying SJC-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 98.1% of 52 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 77.4% across 31 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255787.7%8.8%0.0%
August 20255694.6%3.6%1.8%
September 20255298.1%0.0%0.0%
October 20255787.7%8.8%0.0%
November 20254680.4%13.0%4.3%
December 20253177.4%16.1%3.2%
January 20262788.9%3.7%0.0%
February 20262596.0%4.0%0.0%
March 20262684.6%7.7%3.8%
April 20262696.2%3.8%0.0%
May 20265094.0%2.0%0.0%
June 20265687.5%8.9%0.0%

What drove SJC to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded SJC-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 50.0% of 3,583 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline50.0%
Late aircraft42.1%
National airspace7.6%
Weather0.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.