BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→SJC

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to San Jose, CA (SJC) flight delay odds

70.5% of 509 official scheduled MSP-to-SJC flights arrived on time; 19.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
70.5%arrived on time
19.8%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
509scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to SJC?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SJC departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.3% of 162 flights. Evening was lowest at 64.2% across 344 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning16283.3%10.5%1.2%
Evening34464.2%24.4%0.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to SJC?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SJC weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 78.4% of 37 flights. Sunday was lowest at 59.5% across 79 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8167.9%21.0%0.0%
Tuesday7977.2%15.2%0.0%
Wednesday7572.0%24.0%0.0%
Thursday8072.5%18.8%0.0%
Friday7870.5%15.4%1.3%
Saturday3778.4%16.2%0.0%
Sunday7959.5%26.6%5.1%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to SJC?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-SJC airline threshold: 70.5% of 509 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines50970.5%19.8%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to SJC?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SJC month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 88.0% of 50 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 30.0% across 30 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255766.7%19.3%0.0%
August 20255673.2%10.7%1.8%
September 20255276.9%17.3%0.0%
October 20255764.9%17.5%0.0%
November 20254669.6%19.6%4.3%
December 20253030.0%46.7%3.3%
January 20262777.8%22.2%0.0%
February 20262580.0%16.0%0.0%
March 20262770.4%18.5%3.7%
April 20262680.8%11.5%0.0%
May 20265088.0%12.0%0.0%
June 20265666.1%32.1%0.0%

What drove MSP to SJC delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-SJC delay category, accounting for 51.1% of 9,407 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline51.1%
Late aircraft28.3%
National airspace16.4%
Weather4.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.