BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SFO→MSP

San Francisco, CA (SFO) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

81.6% of 1,919 official scheduled SFO-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 11.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.6%arrived on time
11.0%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
1,919scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-0.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SFO to MSP?

Among qualifying SFO-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.7% of 561 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 74.1% across 818 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning56190.7%4.8%0.7%
Late morning17075.3%14.7%0.0%
Afternoon81874.1%16.9%0.9%
Evening8881.8%4.5%1.1%
Night28289.0%6.0%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for SFO to MSP?

Among qualifying SFO-to-MSP weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 86.7% of 263 flights. Sunday was lowest at 76.8% across 271 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday29576.9%13.9%1.4%
Tuesday26885.1%9.0%0.0%
Wednesday25683.6%10.2%0.8%
Thursday28784.3%11.5%0.0%
Friday27978.5%14.7%0.7%
Saturday26386.7%8.4%1.1%
Sunday27176.8%8.9%1.1%

Which airline was most reliable for SFO to MSP?

Among qualifying SFO-to-MSP airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 82.4% of 1,445 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 76.9% across 173 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,44582.4%10.9%1.0%
United Airlines30180.7%10.3%0.0%
SkyWest Airlines17376.9%13.3%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for SFO to MSP?

Among qualifying SFO-to-MSP month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 94.7% of 170 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 57.6% across 184 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202519387.0%5.7%0.5%
August 202518086.7%7.2%0.6%
September 202515782.8%8.9%0.0%
October 202517094.7%2.9%0.0%
November 202514885.8%8.8%0.7%
December 202513977.7%12.9%2.2%
January 202614387.4%9.1%0.7%
February 202612888.3%8.6%0.0%
March 202614379.7%11.9%3.5%
April 202616681.3%10.8%0.0%
May 202616873.2%18.5%1.2%
June 202618457.6%25.5%0.0%

What drove SFO to MSP delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SFO-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 52.0% of 20,496 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline32.6%
Late aircraft52.0%
National airspace15.4%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.