BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SFO→MCO

San Francisco, CA (SFO) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

84.2% of 1,452 official scheduled SFO-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 8.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
84.2%arrived on time
8.4%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
1,452scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.6%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-3.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SFO to MCO?

Among qualifying SFO-to-MCO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.1% of 655 flights. Evening was lowest at 52.7% across 55 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning65590.1%4.6%0.5%
Afternoon24281.0%11.6%0.0%
Evening5552.7%25.5%5.5%
Night47382.5%9.1%0.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for SFO to MCO?

Among qualifying SFO-to-MCO weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 88.6% of 202 flights. Sunday was lowest at 79.5% across 215 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday20980.9%12.4%1.4%
Tuesday19285.4%8.9%0.0%
Wednesday20288.6%6.4%0.0%
Thursday21187.2%4.3%0.0%
Friday21686.1%8.8%0.5%
Saturday20781.6%7.7%0.0%
Sunday21579.5%10.2%1.9%

Which airline was most reliable for SFO to MCO?

Among qualifying SFO-to-MCO airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 86.0% of 1,063 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 51.0% across 49 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,06386.0%7.2%0.3%
Alaska Airlines34083.2%9.1%0.6%
Frontier Airlines4951.0%28.6%6.1%

Which month was most reliable for SFO to MCO?

Among qualifying SFO-to-MCO month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 95.1% of 102 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 70.2% across 124 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512470.2%15.3%2.4%
August 202511182.0%13.5%0.9%
September 20259492.6%1.1%0.0%
October 202510295.1%2.9%1.0%
November 202513083.1%6.2%0.0%
December 202515180.8%10.6%0.7%
January 202613481.3%7.5%0.0%
February 202612592.0%3.2%0.8%
March 202614585.5%9.7%0.7%
April 202613789.1%8.0%0.0%
May 202611776.9%12.0%0.0%
June 20268285.4%8.5%0.0%

What drove SFO to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SFO-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 44.4% of 12,784 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline34.9%
Late aircraft44.4%
National airspace20.6%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.