BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→SFO

Orlando, FL (MCO) to San Francisco, CA (SFO) flight delay odds

77.1% of 1,454 official scheduled MCO-to-SFO flights arrived on time; 14.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.1%arrived on time
14.8%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
1,454scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to SFO?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SFO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.1% of 616 flights. Late morning was lowest at 60.0% across 60 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning61691.1%4.5%0.6%
Late morning6060.0%23.3%0.0%
Afternoon9666.7%22.9%1.0%
Evening68267.4%22.1%0.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to SFO?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SFO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 82.4% of 193 flights. Sunday was lowest at 71.6% across 215 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday21474.8%16.4%1.9%
Tuesday19382.4%9.8%0.0%
Wednesday19880.3%13.1%0.0%
Thursday21173.0%18.0%0.5%
Friday21277.4%13.7%0.0%
Saturday21181.0%10.9%0.0%
Sunday21571.6%20.9%1.9%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to SFO?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SFO airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 80.3% of 1,065 flights. Alaska Airlines was lowest at 67.1% across 340 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,06580.3%12.5%0.4%
Alaska Airlines34067.1%22.9%0.9%
Frontier Airlines4977.6%8.2%4.1%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to SFO?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SFO month results, March 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 87.1% of 147 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 63.7% across 124 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512463.7%27.4%2.4%
August 202511164.9%26.1%0.9%
September 20259481.9%12.8%0.0%
October 202510277.5%11.8%1.0%
November 202512984.5%8.5%0.0%
December 202515177.5%17.2%0.7%
January 202613577.0%15.6%0.0%
February 202612582.4%7.2%0.8%
March 202614787.1%8.2%1.4%
April 202613781.0%12.4%0.0%
May 202611771.8%15.4%0.0%
June 20268270.7%17.1%0.0%

What drove MCO to SFO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-SFO delay category, accounting for 38.7% of 23,021 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline20.0%
Late aircraft38.7%
National airspace34.9%
Weather6.4%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.