BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SFO→FAT

San Francisco, CA (SFO) to Fresno, CA (FAT) flight delay odds

75.2% of 1,276 official scheduled SFO-to-FAT flights arrived on time; 16.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.2%arrived on time
16.8%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
1,276scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SFO to FAT?

Among qualifying SFO-to-FAT departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.5% of 158 flights. Night was lowest at 69.1% across 110 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning15883.5%14.6%0.0%
Late morning27974.6%15.8%0.7%
Afternoon30371.9%17.8%2.6%
Evening42676.3%16.4%1.4%
Night11069.1%20.9%2.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for SFO to FAT?

Among qualifying SFO-to-FAT weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.0% of 184 flights. Friday was lowest at 69.4% across 183 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18972.0%18.5%2.6%
Tuesday18481.0%13.0%1.6%
Wednesday17979.3%12.8%0.6%
Thursday18573.0%18.9%0.5%
Friday18369.4%20.2%1.1%
Saturday16977.5%14.8%2.4%
Sunday18774.3%18.7%1.6%

Which airline was most reliable for SFO to FAT?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the SFO-to-FAT airline threshold: 75.2% of 1,276 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,27675.2%16.8%1.5%

Which month was most reliable for SFO to FAT?

Among qualifying SFO-to-FAT month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 86.6% of 119 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 58.5% across 82 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511982.4%12.6%0.0%
August 202511685.3%7.8%0.0%
September 202511986.6%11.8%0.0%
October 202514382.5%10.5%0.0%
November 202511976.5%12.6%5.9%
December 20258258.5%23.2%4.9%
January 20269269.6%20.7%5.4%
February 20268460.7%28.6%0.0%
March 20269582.1%11.6%0.0%
April 202611068.2%22.7%2.7%
May 202610772.9%20.6%0.0%
June 20269062.2%28.9%0.0%

What drove SFO to FAT delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded SFO-to-FAT delay category, accounting for 39.7% of 28,608 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline39.7%
Late aircraft31.2%
National airspace21.6%
Weather7.4%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.