BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
FATSFO

Fresno, CA (FAT) to San Francisco, CA (SFO) flight delay odds

Historically, 66.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,276 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
66.1%arrived on time
23.3%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
1,276scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+21.4 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning39577.5%14.9%1.3%
Late morning34456.1%32.6%0.0%
Afternoon31269.9%21.5%1.3%
Evening22556.4%26.2%3.1%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18957.7%28.6%2.6%
Tuesday18471.2%16.8%1.1%
Wednesday17965.4%26.8%1.1%
Thursday18469.0%22.8%0.5%
Friday18365.0%25.1%0.5%
Saturday16973.4%18.9%1.2%
Sunday18862.2%23.4%1.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,27666.1%23.3%1.3%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511973.9%19.3%0.0%
August 202511677.6%12.9%0.0%
September 202511868.6%25.4%0.0%
October 202514463.9%21.5%0.0%
November 202511965.5%22.7%5.9%
December 20258269.5%18.3%3.7%
January 20269267.4%18.5%4.3%
February 20268366.3%27.7%0.0%
March 20269582.1%9.5%0.0%
April 202611050.0%39.1%1.8%
May 202610855.6%33.3%0.0%
June 20269053.3%31.1%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline37.2%
Late aircraft19.4%
National airspace38.0%
Weather5.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.