BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SFO→BNA

San Francisco, CA (SFO) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

73.4% of 1,162 official scheduled SFO-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 15.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.4%arrived on time
15.7%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
1,162scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SFO to BNA?

Among qualifying SFO-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.5% of 40 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 71.0% across 217 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning4087.5%5.0%2.5%
Late morning46674.0%14.6%0.4%
Afternoon21771.0%19.8%1.4%
Night41472.5%15.2%0.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for SFO to BNA?

Among qualifying SFO-to-BNA weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 80.3% of 152 flights. Sunday was lowest at 64.5% across 186 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17174.9%14.0%0.0%
Tuesday14178.7%13.5%0.0%
Wednesday15278.9%11.8%0.7%
Thursday18069.4%20.6%0.6%
Friday18070.6%19.4%0.6%
Saturday15280.3%5.9%1.3%
Sunday18664.5%21.5%1.1%

Which airline was most reliable for SFO to BNA?

Among qualifying SFO-to-BNA airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 79.3% of 851 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 57.2% across 311 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines85179.3%11.0%0.7%
Southwest Airlines31157.2%28.3%0.3%

Which month was most reliable for SFO to BNA?

Among qualifying SFO-to-BNA month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 85.2% of 81 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 59.8% across 107 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511472.8%15.8%1.8%
August 20258967.4%21.3%1.1%
September 20259271.7%15.2%0.0%
October 202511080.9%10.0%0.0%
November 20259866.3%18.4%0.0%
December 20257473.0%18.9%0.0%
January 20266374.6%9.5%6.3%
February 20268185.2%8.6%0.0%
March 202611279.5%12.5%0.0%
April 202610880.6%13.9%0.0%
May 202611470.2%16.7%0.0%
June 202610759.8%25.2%0.0%

What drove SFO to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SFO-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 57.4% of 15,571 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline25.2%
Late aircraft57.4%
National airspace17.4%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.