BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→SFO

Nashville, TN (BNA) to San Francisco, CA (SFO) flight delay odds

69.8% of 1,162 official scheduled BNA-to-SFO flights arrived on time; 19.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
69.8%arrived on time
19.0%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
1,162scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to SFO?

Among qualifying BNA-to-SFO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 82.8% of 442 flights. Evening was lowest at 55.2% across 279 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning44282.8%6.8%1.6%
Late morning6473.4%20.3%0.0%
Afternoon37664.9%24.2%0.3%
Evening27955.2%30.8%0.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to SFO?

Among qualifying BNA-to-SFO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 75.7% of 144 flights. Monday was lowest at 65.0% across 183 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18365.0%25.1%0.5%
Tuesday14475.7%13.9%0.0%
Wednesday13769.3%16.1%0.7%
Thursday17972.1%17.9%0.6%
Friday18470.1%19.6%0.5%
Saturday14873.0%15.5%1.4%
Sunday18765.2%22.5%1.6%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to SFO?

Among qualifying BNA-to-SFO airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 75.3% of 851 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 54.7% across 311 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines85175.3%14.0%0.8%
Southwest Airlines31154.7%32.8%0.6%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to SFO?

Among qualifying BNA-to-SFO month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 86.8% of 91 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 45.8% across 107 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511476.3%14.9%2.6%
August 20258979.8%11.2%0.0%
September 20259186.8%7.7%0.0%
October 202511179.3%7.2%0.0%
November 20259874.5%17.3%0.0%
December 20257568.0%17.3%0.0%
January 20266366.7%17.5%7.9%
February 20268068.8%16.2%0.0%
March 202611382.3%10.6%0.0%
April 202610752.3%31.8%0.0%
May 202611458.8%29.8%0.0%
June 202610745.8%42.1%0.9%

What drove BNA to SFO delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded BNA-to-SFO delay category, accounting for 40.4% of 19,557 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline27.3%
Late aircraft28.9%
National airspace40.4%
Weather3.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.