BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SDF→ORD

Louisville, KY (SDF) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

76.7% of 2,807 official scheduled SDF-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 13.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
76.7%arrived on time
13.7%30+ min late
2.8%cancelled
2,807scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SDF to ORD?

Among qualifying SDF-to-ORD departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.4% of 622 flights. Evening was lowest at 61.0% across 577 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,03383.3%8.8%1.9%
Late morning62285.4%8.8%1.4%
Afternoon57471.1%20.0%2.6%
Evening57761.0%21.5%5.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for SDF to ORD?

Among qualifying SDF-to-ORD weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 82.4% of 414 flights. Friday was lowest at 72.8% across 405 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday41976.4%13.4%3.8%
Tuesday39677.5%13.6%2.8%
Wednesday40177.1%12.2%3.7%
Thursday41482.4%6.5%2.7%
Friday40572.8%16.5%2.0%
Saturday36775.5%16.3%1.9%
Sunday40574.8%17.8%2.7%

Which airline was most reliable for SDF to ORD?

Among qualifying SDF-to-ORD airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 80.2% of 1,736 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 67.9% across 645 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways1,73680.2%10.7%2.7%
SkyWest Airlines64567.9%20.2%3.9%
Envoy Air41676.0%15.9%1.4%
United Airlines650.0%50.0%0.0%
American Airlines366.7%33.3%0.0%
PSA Airlines10.0%0.0%100.0%

Which month was most reliable for SDF to ORD?

Among qualifying SDF-to-ORD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 89.2% of 222 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 69.1% across 259 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202525969.1%20.5%2.7%
August 202524279.3%9.9%3.3%
September 202522289.2%6.8%0.5%
October 202525683.2%10.2%0.0%
November 202519470.6%14.9%6.2%
December 202517974.3%17.9%2.2%
January 202618272.5%16.5%3.8%
February 202619874.7%14.6%0.0%
March 202622172.4%13.1%5.0%
April 202631173.3%15.4%3.9%
May 202631281.1%11.5%2.2%
June 202623177.5%14.7%4.3%

What drove SDF to ORD delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded SDF-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 39.1% of 44,533 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline17.4%
Late aircraft37.6%
National airspace39.1%
Weather5.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.