BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SDF→MSP

Louisville, KY (SDF) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

81.1% of 593 official scheduled SDF-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 12.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.1%arrived on time
12.3%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
593scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SDF to MSP?

Among qualifying SDF-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 88.7% of 177 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 77.2% across 324 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning17788.7%5.6%1.7%
Afternoon32477.2%15.4%1.2%
Evening9280.4%14.1%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for SDF to MSP?

Among qualifying SDF-to-MSP weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 83.5% of 91 flights. Monday was lowest at 77.5% across 89 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8977.5%11.2%1.1%
Tuesday8577.6%17.6%1.2%
Wednesday8582.4%10.6%1.2%
Thursday9183.5%11.0%1.1%
Friday9182.4%11.0%0.0%
Saturday6481.2%14.1%0.0%
Sunday8883.0%11.4%3.4%

Which airline was most reliable for SDF to MSP?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the SDF-to-MSP airline threshold: 81.1% of 593 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines59381.1%12.3%1.2%

Which month was most reliable for SDF to MSP?

Among qualifying SDF-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 93.7% of 63 flights. February 2026 was lowest at 68.4% across 38 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256684.8%12.1%1.5%
August 20258184.0%13.6%0.0%
September 20256393.7%1.6%0.0%
February 20263868.4%18.4%0.0%
March 20267576.0%14.7%8.0%
April 20269481.9%12.8%0.0%
May 202611877.1%15.3%0.0%
June 20263680.6%5.6%0.0%

What drove SDF to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded SDF-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 64.5% of 9,912 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline64.5%
Late aircraft0.0%
National airspace10.0%
Weather25.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.