BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→SDF

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Louisville, KY (SDF) flight delay odds

81.0% of 591 official scheduled MSP-to-SDF flights arrived on time; 12.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.0%arrived on time
12.4%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
591scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to SDF?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SDF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.7% of 98 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 76.5% across 238 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning9884.7%9.2%2.0%
Late morning8082.5%13.8%0.0%
Afternoon23876.5%16.0%0.4%
Evening17584.6%8.6%1.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to SDF?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SDF weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 88.9% of 63 flights. Monday was lowest at 74.2% across 89 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8974.2%18.0%1.1%
Tuesday8580.0%15.3%0.0%
Wednesday8580.0%15.3%1.2%
Thursday9181.3%12.1%0.0%
Friday9182.4%7.7%0.0%
Saturday6388.9%7.9%1.6%
Sunday8782.8%9.2%3.4%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to SDF?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the MSP-to-SDF airline threshold: 81.0% of 591 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines59181.0%12.4%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to SDF?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SDF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.5% of 63 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 74.7% across 75 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256581.5%15.4%0.0%
August 20258278.0%11.0%0.0%
September 20256390.5%4.8%0.0%
February 20263982.1%12.8%0.0%
March 20267574.7%14.7%8.0%
April 20269485.1%8.5%0.0%
May 202611778.6%18.8%0.0%
June 20263577.1%5.7%0.0%

What drove MSP to SDF delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-SDF delay category, accounting for 64.0% of 6,204 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline64.0%
Late aircraft0.0%
National airspace16.4%
Weather19.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.