BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SDF→MCO

Louisville, KY (SDF) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

78.8% of 868 official scheduled SDF-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 12.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.8%arrived on time
12.7%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
868scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.7%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+3.7 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SDF to MCO?

Among qualifying SDF-to-MCO departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.2% of 64 flights. Evening was lowest at 60.7% across 290 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning38292.1%3.9%1.0%
Late morning6492.2%3.1%0.0%
Afternoon12773.2%18.1%3.1%
Evening29060.7%23.8%2.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for SDF to MCO?

Among qualifying SDF-to-MCO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 83.5% of 103 flights. Sunday was lowest at 73.6% across 125 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday12177.7%12.4%2.5%
Tuesday10383.5%10.7%1.9%
Wednesday11381.4%12.4%2.7%
Thursday11577.4%12.2%0.9%
Friday12382.1%11.4%0.8%
Saturday16877.4%13.1%1.2%
Sunday12573.6%16.0%3.2%

Which airline was most reliable for SDF to MCO?

Among qualifying SDF-to-MCO airline results, Spirit Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 83.6% of 116 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 78.2% across 724 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines72478.2%13.1%1.7%
Spirit Airlines11683.6%7.8%3.4%
Republic Airways2875.0%21.4%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for SDF to MCO?

Among qualifying SDF-to-MCO month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 96.8% of 62 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 63.2% across 68 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258076.2%17.5%0.0%
August 20255186.3%5.9%0.0%
September 20256296.8%1.6%0.0%
October 20259584.2%7.4%1.1%
November 20256580.0%9.2%7.7%
December 20257470.3%24.3%0.0%
January 20268082.5%6.2%6.2%
February 20267273.6%11.1%2.8%
March 20268774.7%19.5%3.4%
April 20267280.6%12.5%0.0%
May 20266280.6%9.7%0.0%
June 20266863.2%23.5%0.0%

What drove SDF to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SDF-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 50.9% of 9,535 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.2%
Late aircraft50.9%
National airspace25.1%
Weather1.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.