BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→SDF

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Louisville, KY (SDF) flight delay odds

72.6% of 868 official scheduled MCO-to-SDF flights arrived on time; 16.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.6%arrived on time
16.7%30+ min late
2.1%cancelled
868scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to SDF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SDF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 88.6% of 246 flights. Night was lowest at 39.6% across 48 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning24688.6%5.7%1.2%
Late morning22583.1%8.0%1.3%
Afternoon6753.7%31.3%1.5%
Evening28260.3%27.0%2.8%
Night4839.6%33.3%6.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to SDF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SDF weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.9% of 116 flights. Sunday was lowest at 57.9% across 126 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday11774.4%17.1%2.6%
Tuesday10377.7%12.6%3.9%
Wednesday11681.9%10.3%0.9%
Thursday11676.7%12.9%0.0%
Friday12278.7%9.8%0.8%
Saturday16865.5%21.4%3.0%
Sunday12657.9%29.4%3.2%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to SDF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SDF airline results, Spirit Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 79.3% of 116 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 71.5% across 724 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines72471.5%17.5%2.1%
Spirit Airlines11679.3%11.2%2.6%
Republic Airways2871.4%17.9%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to SDF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SDF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 95.2% of 62 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 60.8% across 74 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258063.8%27.5%0.0%
August 20255174.5%17.6%0.0%
September 20256295.2%3.2%0.0%
October 20259566.3%20.0%0.0%
November 20256584.6%7.7%4.6%
December 20257460.8%24.3%1.4%
January 20268083.8%7.5%6.2%
February 20267270.8%15.3%2.8%
March 20268763.2%25.3%4.6%
April 20267275.0%13.9%0.0%
May 20266279.0%9.7%1.6%
June 20266863.2%22.1%2.9%

What drove MCO to SDF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-SDF delay category, accounting for 44.1% of 12,713 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.5%
Late aircraft44.1%
National airspace15.8%
Weather3.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.