BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SAN→MSP

San Diego, CA (SAN) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

87.6% of 1,314 official scheduled SAN-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 6.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
87.6%arrived on time
6.3%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
1,314scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-0.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SAN to MSP?

Among qualifying SAN-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.4% of 537 flights. Evening was lowest at 82.7% across 81 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning53792.4%3.5%1.1%
Late morning16987.0%5.9%0.6%
Afternoon52783.7%9.1%0.4%
Evening8182.7%7.4%1.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for SAN to MSP?

Among qualifying SAN-to-MSP weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 93.2% of 191 flights. Monday was lowest at 84.1% across 195 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday19584.1%7.7%1.5%
Tuesday19193.2%4.2%0.0%
Wednesday18689.2%5.9%0.0%
Thursday19287.5%7.8%1.0%
Friday19487.1%7.7%0.0%
Saturday16085.6%6.2%0.6%
Sunday19686.2%4.6%2.0%

Which airline was most reliable for SAN to MSP?

Only Delta Air Lines met the SAN-to-MSP airline threshold: 87.6% of 1,314 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,31487.6%6.3%0.8%

Which month was most reliable for SAN to MSP?

Among qualifying SAN-to-MSP month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 94.8% of 116 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 76.5% across 119 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511979.8%10.1%0.8%
August 202511386.7%5.3%0.0%
September 202510788.8%6.5%0.9%
October 202511694.8%4.3%0.0%
November 202511388.5%3.5%0.9%
December 202511976.5%16.8%0.8%
January 20269683.3%8.3%0.0%
February 20268490.5%6.0%0.0%
March 202611488.6%3.5%3.5%
April 202611693.1%4.3%0.0%
May 202611292.9%2.7%0.0%
June 202610588.6%3.8%1.9%

What drove SAN to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded SAN-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 43.2% of 12,122 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline43.2%
Late aircraft36.6%
National airspace15.6%
Weather4.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.