BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→SAN

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to San Diego, CA (SAN) flight delay odds

76.6% of 1,314 official scheduled MSP-to-SAN flights arrived on time; 13.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.6%arrived on time
13.3%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
1,314scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+3.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to SAN?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SAN departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 80.6% of 175 flights. Evening was lowest at 71.2% across 364 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning17580.6%8.6%0.6%
Late morning55180.4%10.3%0.4%
Evening36471.2%17.9%0.5%
Night22072.3%17.3%2.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to SAN?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SAN weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.7% of 191 flights. Thursday was lowest at 72.4% across 192 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday19573.3%16.9%0.0%
Tuesday19181.7%7.9%0.0%
Wednesday18681.2%11.8%0.5%
Thursday19272.4%13.5%0.0%
Friday19475.8%13.4%0.5%
Saturday16078.8%14.4%0.0%
Sunday19673.5%15.3%4.1%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to SAN?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-SAN airline threshold: 76.6% of 1,314 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,31476.6%13.3%0.8%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to SAN?

Among qualifying MSP-to-SAN month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 89.7% of 116 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 54.6% across 119 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511968.1%26.9%0.8%
August 202511380.5%14.2%0.0%
September 202510778.5%10.3%0.9%
October 202511681.9%11.2%0.0%
November 202511381.4%10.6%0.9%
December 202511954.6%25.2%0.8%
January 20269666.7%22.9%0.0%
February 20268481.0%6.0%0.0%
March 202611483.3%6.1%3.5%
April 202611689.7%2.6%0.0%
May 202611277.7%14.3%0.0%
June 202610576.2%7.6%1.9%

What drove MSP to SAN delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-SAN delay category, accounting for 38.4% of 14,117 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline38.4%
Late aircraft22.5%
National airspace34.4%
Weather4.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.