BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SAN→MCO

San Diego, CA (SAN) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

76.0% of 1,067 official scheduled SAN-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 13.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.0%arrived on time
13.2%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
1,067scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.6%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SAN to MCO?

Among qualifying SAN-to-MCO departure window results, Night had the highest on-time rate: 83.5% of 382 flights. Late morning was lowest at 69.2% across 416 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning24878.2%9.7%0.4%
Late morning41669.2%18.5%0.5%
Night38283.5%8.6%1.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for SAN to MCO?

Among qualifying SAN-to-MCO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 79.6% of 137 flights. Thursday was lowest at 72.6% across 157 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday16076.2%13.8%1.2%
Tuesday13779.6%12.4%0.0%
Wednesday13376.7%12.8%0.0%
Thursday15772.6%11.5%0.6%
Friday16076.2%16.9%1.2%
Saturday16076.2%11.9%0.6%
Sunday16075.0%13.1%1.2%

Which airline was most reliable for SAN to MCO?

Among qualifying SAN-to-MCO airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 76.5% of 438 flights. Alaska Airlines was lowest at 75.7% across 629 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Alaska Airlines62975.7%13.8%0.8%
Southwest Airlines43876.5%12.3%0.7%

Which month was most reliable for SAN to MCO?

Among qualifying SAN-to-MCO month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 90.1% of 111 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 55.8% across 113 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259372.0%16.1%1.1%
August 20257258.3%29.2%1.4%
September 20255176.5%17.6%0.0%
October 20256177.0%11.5%0.0%
November 20256866.2%17.6%0.0%
December 20258767.8%19.5%0.0%
January 20269378.5%12.9%1.1%
February 20268489.3%4.8%0.0%
March 202611355.8%22.1%3.5%
April 202611190.1%3.6%0.0%
May 202611688.8%4.3%0.0%
June 202611883.1%8.5%0.8%

What drove SAN to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SAN-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 40.1% of 11,517 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.4%
Late aircraft40.1%
National airspace33.1%
Weather3.6%
Security0.8%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.