BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→SAN

Orlando, FL (MCO) to San Diego, CA (SAN) flight delay odds

75.1% of 1,067 official scheduled MCO-to-SAN flights arrived on time; 14.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.1%arrived on time
14.6%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
1,067scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to SAN?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SAN departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.6% of 362 flights. Evening was lowest at 63.5% across 449 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36290.6%4.4%0.8%
Late morning6677.3%12.1%0.0%
Afternoon19072.1%15.8%0.5%
Evening44963.5%22.7%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to SAN?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SAN weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.9% of 138 flights. Sunday was lowest at 66.9% across 160 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday16071.2%15.6%0.6%
Tuesday13881.9%12.3%0.0%
Wednesday13379.7%10.5%0.0%
Thursday15679.5%12.8%0.6%
Friday16072.5%16.9%0.0%
Saturday16075.6%13.8%0.6%
Sunday16066.9%19.4%2.5%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to SAN?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SAN airline results, Alaska Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 80.1% of 629 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 67.8% across 438 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Alaska Airlines62980.1%12.4%0.8%
Southwest Airlines43867.8%17.8%0.5%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to SAN?

Among qualifying MCO-to-SAN month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 85.7% of 84 flights. October 2025 was lowest at 62.3% across 61 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259371.0%17.2%0.0%
August 20257364.4%24.7%2.7%
September 20255162.7%25.5%0.0%
October 20256162.3%26.2%0.0%
November 20256873.5%14.7%1.5%
December 20258680.2%11.6%0.0%
January 20269373.1%9.7%1.1%
February 20268485.7%9.5%0.0%
March 202611383.2%12.4%2.7%
April 202611179.3%9.0%0.0%
May 202611677.6%12.9%0.0%
June 202611873.7%14.4%0.0%

What drove MCO to SAN delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-SAN delay category, accounting for 45.8% of 13,981 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline21.8%
Late aircraft45.8%
National airspace21.1%
Weather10.7%
Security0.6%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.