BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
RDU→JFK

Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) to New York, NY (JFK) flight delay odds

72.1% of 2,362 official scheduled RDU-to-JFK flights arrived on time; 15.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
72.1%arrived on time
15.8%30+ min late
4.4%cancelled
2,362scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for RDU to JFK?

Among qualifying RDU-to-JFK departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.0% of 664 flights. Evening was lowest at 48.9% across 534 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning66486.0%6.0%3.0%
Late morning47181.1%10.0%3.2%
Afternoon68571.1%17.2%3.8%
Evening53448.9%30.7%7.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for RDU to JFK?

Among qualifying RDU-to-JFK weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 78.0% of 322 flights. Sunday was lowest at 63.0% across 343 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday34569.6%16.5%7.0%
Tuesday33771.8%15.7%4.5%
Wednesday32278.0%12.7%1.6%
Thursday32671.8%16.3%2.8%
Friday33676.5%16.1%2.1%
Saturday35374.8%14.4%4.0%
Sunday34363.0%18.7%8.5%

Which airline was most reliable for RDU to JFK?

Among qualifying RDU-to-JFK airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 73.4% of 1,437 flights. JetBlue Airways was lowest at 70.2% across 925 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways1,43773.4%14.5%4.5%
JetBlue Airways92570.2%17.7%4.2%

Which month was most reliable for RDU to JFK?

Among qualifying RDU-to-JFK month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 84.0% of 156 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 58.5% across 217 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521758.5%19.8%12.9%
August 202520177.1%13.9%0.5%
September 202519780.7%12.7%1.0%
October 202519572.3%17.9%1.5%
November 202524773.3%15.4%4.5%
December 202523366.1%20.6%3.9%
January 202618469.6%13.0%10.3%
February 202618566.5%13.5%11.9%
March 202619773.6%18.3%1.5%
April 202615684.0%8.3%0.0%
May 202616382.8%8.0%0.6%
June 202618766.8%24.1%2.1%

What drove RDU to JFK delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded RDU-to-JFK delay category, accounting for 37.9% of 40,123 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline23.0%
Late aircraft37.9%
National airspace33.7%
Weather5.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.