BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JFK→RDU

New York, NY (JFK) to Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) flight delay odds

72.0% of 2,363 official scheduled JFK-to-RDU flights arrived on time; 15.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 5.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
72.0%arrived on time
15.7%30+ min late
5.0%cancelled
2,363scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for JFK to RDU?

Among qualifying JFK-to-RDU departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.0% of 336 flights. Night was lowest at 61.9% across 352 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning42881.5%8.2%4.9%
Late morning33683.0%8.6%3.3%
Afternoon76972.0%15.1%3.9%
Evening47863.0%23.6%5.4%
Night35261.9%21.9%8.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for JFK to RDU?

Among qualifying JFK-to-RDU weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 77.3% of 321 flights. Sunday was lowest at 62.1% across 343 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday34171.8%15.0%7.6%
Tuesday33776.9%13.1%3.9%
Wednesday32177.3%12.5%2.8%
Thursday32670.9%19.0%2.8%
Friday34173.0%18.8%1.8%
Saturday35472.3%12.7%6.8%
Sunday34362.1%18.7%9.0%

Which airline was most reliable for JFK to RDU?

Among qualifying JFK-to-RDU airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 74.1% of 1,438 flights. JetBlue Airways was lowest at 68.6% across 925 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways1,43874.1%12.9%5.5%
JetBlue Airways92568.6%19.9%4.2%

Which month was most reliable for JFK to RDU?

Among qualifying JFK-to-RDU month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 86.0% of 164 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 54.8% across 217 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521754.8%24.4%12.0%
August 202520183.6%10.4%1.5%
September 202519780.2%11.7%1.5%
October 202519570.8%14.4%2.6%
November 202524872.6%14.5%6.0%
December 202523364.8%20.2%5.2%
January 202618463.0%17.4%11.4%
February 202618565.4%15.7%12.4%
March 202619773.1%19.8%1.0%
April 202615684.0%9.0%0.0%
May 202616486.0%10.4%0.0%
June 202618672.0%16.7%4.3%

What drove JFK to RDU delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded JFK-to-RDU delay category, accounting for 49.3% of 36,691 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline24.7%
Late aircraft49.3%
National airspace21.5%
Weather4.2%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.