BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
RDU→BNA

Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

78.9% of 2,213 official scheduled RDU-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 11.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.9%arrived on time
11.8%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
2,213scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for RDU to BNA?

Among qualifying RDU-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 94.4% of 430 flights. Evening was lowest at 66.2% across 476 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning43094.4%1.9%1.4%
Late morning60688.6%4.8%1.2%
Afternoon55268.5%19.9%1.3%
Evening47666.2%19.3%2.5%
Night14973.8%14.8%1.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for RDU to BNA?

Among qualifying RDU-to-BNA weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 87.6% of 314 flights. Sunday was lowest at 73.0% across 322 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday33975.5%13.0%2.1%
Tuesday32082.5%10.9%1.2%
Wednesday31487.6%6.4%0.0%
Thursday33575.5%13.4%0.6%
Friday33877.8%13.3%0.6%
Saturday24581.6%9.4%3.7%
Sunday32273.0%15.2%3.1%

Which airline was most reliable for RDU to BNA?

Among qualifying RDU-to-BNA airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 80.4% of 1,259 flights. Republic Airways was lowest at 76.9% across 954 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,25980.4%9.7%1.0%
Republic Airways95476.9%14.6%2.2%

Which month was most reliable for RDU to BNA?

Among qualifying RDU-to-BNA month results, August 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 88.2% of 161 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 69.9% across 173 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202517369.9%18.5%2.9%
August 202516188.2%6.8%0.0%
September 202518386.9%8.7%0.0%
October 202519577.9%11.8%0.5%
November 202518780.2%10.7%1.1%
December 202520171.1%17.9%0.5%
January 202618673.7%10.2%11.3%
February 202616787.4%6.6%1.2%
March 202620579.5%12.7%1.0%
April 202619779.2%11.7%0.0%
May 202619274.0%12.0%0.0%
June 202616681.3%12.7%0.0%

What drove RDU to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded RDU-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 67.3% of 25,634 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline18.6%
Late aircraft67.3%
National airspace12.0%
Weather1.5%
Security0.7%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.