BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→RDU

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) flight delay odds

73.9% of 2,213 official scheduled BNA-to-RDU flights arrived on time; 14.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.9%arrived on time
14.2%30+ min late
1.9%cancelled
2,213scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to RDU?

Among qualifying BNA-to-RDU departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.6% of 410 flights. Evening was lowest at 64.0% across 695 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning22783.3%6.6%3.5%
Late morning41084.6%5.9%0.7%
Afternoon88074.4%14.4%1.9%
Evening69564.0%21.3%2.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to RDU?

Among qualifying BNA-to-RDU weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 83.4% of 314 flights. Sunday was lowest at 65.7% across 321 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday33969.0%18.3%2.1%
Tuesday32078.1%12.8%1.6%
Wednesday31483.4%7.3%0.6%
Thursday33570.1%17.3%0.9%
Friday33872.8%16.9%0.9%
Saturday24680.5%10.2%4.5%
Sunday32165.7%15.3%3.4%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to RDU?

Among qualifying BNA-to-RDU airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.5% of 1,261 flights. Republic Airways was lowest at 73.2% across 952 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,26174.5%13.5%1.2%
Republic Airways95273.2%15.2%2.8%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to RDU?

Among qualifying BNA-to-RDU month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 87.4% of 183 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 61.8% across 173 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202517361.8%23.7%2.9%
August 202516277.8%15.4%0.6%
September 202518387.4%5.5%0.0%
October 202519564.1%17.4%1.5%
November 202518777.5%13.4%2.1%
December 202520072.0%16.5%0.5%
January 202618674.2%8.6%11.3%
February 202616785.0%9.0%1.2%
March 202620574.1%17.1%1.5%
April 202619774.1%12.7%0.0%
May 202619270.3%14.1%0.5%
June 202616669.9%17.5%0.6%

What drove BNA to RDU delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-RDU delay category, accounting for 58.2% of 27,743 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline26.0%
Late aircraft58.2%
National airspace13.1%
Weather2.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.