BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHXTPA

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Tampa, FL (TPA) flight delay odds

Historically, 70.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,222 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
70.0%arrived on time
17.3%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
1,222scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning25979.5%5.8%0.0%
Late morning24774.5%15.4%0.8%
Afternoon46762.7%23.6%0.6%
Evening14355.2%28.0%0.7%
Night10687.7%8.5%0.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18072.8%15.6%1.7%
Tuesday16269.1%19.8%0.6%
Wednesday15874.1%13.3%0.0%
Thursday18174.6%15.5%0.6%
Friday17869.1%17.4%0.0%
Saturday17065.9%16.5%0.0%
Sunday19364.8%22.8%0.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines73375.7%13.0%0.7%
Southwest Airlines48961.3%23.9%0.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259757.7%29.9%1.0%
August 20256770.1%17.9%0.0%
September 20256083.3%11.7%0.0%
October 202510268.6%23.5%0.0%
November 202510978.0%14.7%1.8%
December 202512468.5%19.4%0.0%
January 202610173.3%13.9%1.0%
February 202611075.5%9.1%0.0%
March 202612852.3%21.1%1.6%
April 202612081.7%11.7%0.0%
May 202611471.9%14.0%0.0%
June 20269064.4%21.1%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline45.7%
Late aircraft43.4%
National airspace10.2%
Weather0.0%
Security0.7%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.