BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHX→SMX

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Santa Maria, CA (SMX) flight delay odds

83.0% of 405 official scheduled PHX-to-SMX flights arrived on time; 11.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.0%arrived on time
11.9%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
405scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for PHX to SMX?

Among qualifying PHX-to-SMX departure window results, Evening had the highest on-time rate: 89.7% of 97 flights. Night was lowest at 79.8% across 104 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Afternoon20381.3%14.3%0.0%
Evening9789.7%2.1%3.1%
Night10479.8%16.3%1.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for PHX to SMX?

Among qualifying PHX-to-SMX weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 89.7% of 58 flights. Friday was lowest at 70.2% across 57 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5882.8%15.5%0.0%
Tuesday5889.7%5.2%0.0%
Wednesday5986.4%13.6%0.0%
Thursday5887.9%6.9%0.0%
Friday5770.2%19.3%3.5%
Saturday5786.0%5.3%3.5%
Sunday5877.6%17.2%1.7%

Which airline was most reliable for PHX to SMX?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the PHX-to-SMX airline threshold: 83.0% of 405 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines40583.0%11.9%1.2%

Which month was most reliable for PHX to SMX?

Among qualifying PHX-to-SMX month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.6% of 32 flights. January 2026 was lowest at 75.8% across 62 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
October 20253290.6%0.0%0.0%
November 20256081.7%11.7%1.7%
December 20256285.5%9.7%3.2%
January 20266275.8%19.4%0.0%
February 20265680.4%17.9%0.0%
March 20266283.9%11.3%3.2%
April 20266086.7%8.3%0.0%

What drove PHX to SMX delay minutes?

Weather was the largest recorded PHX-to-SMX delay category, accounting for 41.0% of 7,069 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.3%
Late aircraft19.3%
National airspace3.4%
Weather41.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.