BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHXDTW

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Detroit, MI (DTW) flight delay odds

Historically, 79.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,426 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.8%arrived on time
11.9%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
2,426scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+6.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning43890.4%5.3%0.2%
Late morning57382.5%8.7%0.5%
Afternoon76176.0%15.4%0.9%
Evening14766.7%19.7%1.4%
Night50776.9%13.8%1.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday36076.1%15.3%1.1%
Tuesday31583.2%7.9%0.3%
Wednesday31381.8%8.3%0.6%
Thursday36585.2%9.6%0.5%
Friday35380.7%11.0%0.8%
Saturday34476.5%14.8%0.0%
Sunday37675.5%15.4%1.9%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,33183.5%10.0%0.7%
American Airlines62875.3%13.7%0.6%
Frontier Airlines31275.3%15.1%1.3%
Spirit Airlines12579.2%12.0%1.6%
Southwest Airlines3056.7%26.7%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202523876.1%13.0%1.3%
August 202518585.4%7.6%0.0%
September 202518384.2%11.5%0.0%
October 202521582.3%10.2%0.5%
November 202519783.2%11.2%0.5%
December 202522274.3%16.7%1.8%
January 202618378.7%13.1%2.7%
February 202615986.2%6.3%0.0%
March 202621870.6%16.5%1.4%
April 202621183.9%11.4%0.0%
May 202621780.6%10.6%0.5%
June 202619875.3%12.6%0.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline38.3%
Late aircraft46.8%
National airspace10.7%
Weather4.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.