BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHLMCO

Philadelphia, PA (PHL) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

Historically, 70.4% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 5,334 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
70.4%arrived on time
19.4%30+ min late
2.3%cancelled
5,334scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,67983.4%9.1%2.3%
Late morning70376.7%14.7%1.7%
Afternoon1,48866.3%23.5%1.1%
Evening1,22256.0%30.0%3.5%
Night24261.2%25.6%6.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday79668.1%20.4%5.3%
Tuesday69279.9%11.7%1.6%
Wednesday66880.5%12.6%0.9%
Thursday77369.9%18.5%1.4%
Friday79568.2%21.6%1.0%
Saturday80468.3%22.5%0.9%
Sunday80661.2%26.1%4.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines2,58171.8%18.8%2.0%
Frontier Airlines1,52968.5%22.4%2.2%
Southwest Airlines64171.0%16.8%0.9%
Spirit Airlines58368.8%16.8%5.8%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202542756.7%32.1%3.7%
August 202545463.0%26.7%0.2%
September 202540380.1%13.2%0.2%
October 202545775.3%16.6%0.7%
November 202540969.2%20.3%2.7%
December 202544961.5%25.6%1.8%
January 202645268.4%19.2%7.1%
February 202643472.4%15.9%5.3%
March 202649070.4%16.7%3.9%
April 202650477.6%14.9%1.0%
May 202644978.0%12.7%0.2%
June 202640672.4%19.2%1.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline25.1%
Late aircraft47.1%
National airspace23.5%
Weather4.3%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.