BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCOPHL

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Philadelphia, PA (PHL) flight delay odds

Historically, 70.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 5,332 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
70.5%arrived on time
19.5%30+ min late
2.3%cancelled
5,332scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+16.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,04089.7%6.4%1.4%
Late morning1,04180.4%11.5%1.0%
Afternoon1,55064.6%21.9%2.0%
Evening1,41958.4%29.7%3.9%
Night28256.7%31.9%3.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday79465.7%20.3%4.5%
Tuesday69977.7%14.9%1.9%
Wednesday66577.4%14.9%0.5%
Thursday76872.3%17.3%1.3%
Friday79873.7%18.5%0.6%
Saturday80167.3%23.1%1.2%
Sunday80761.6%25.8%5.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines2,58273.5%17.4%2.2%
Frontier Airlines1,52870.0%21.3%1.9%
Southwest Airlines64367.5%19.0%0.8%
Spirit Airlines57961.5%24.5%5.4%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202542857.9%29.9%4.2%
August 202545569.9%22.9%0.2%
September 202540182.0%13.0%0.2%
October 202545772.0%18.2%0.2%
November 202540775.7%14.5%2.2%
December 202544764.7%22.4%1.8%
January 202644966.1%18.5%6.9%
February 202643566.9%17.9%5.7%
March 202649166.0%24.0%3.9%
April 202650574.7%16.6%0.8%
May 202644980.4%13.1%0.2%
June 202640870.6%22.1%0.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline23.1%
Late aircraft51.7%
National airspace18.9%
Weather6.3%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.