BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHL→BNA

Philadelphia, PA (PHL) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

73.6% of 2,816 official scheduled PHL-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 16.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.6%arrived on time
16.8%30+ min late
2.3%cancelled
2,816scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for PHL to BNA?

Among qualifying PHL-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.3% of 662 flights. Evening was lowest at 62.0% across 653 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning66287.3%6.8%2.0%
Late morning39581.8%12.4%0.3%
Afternoon94470.2%19.2%1.9%
Evening65362.0%25.0%3.4%
Night16264.2%22.2%6.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for PHL to BNA?

Among qualifying PHL-to-BNA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 78.1% of 370 flights. Sunday was lowest at 68.3% across 460 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday43573.3%15.6%3.9%
Tuesday37078.1%14.3%2.2%
Wednesday35476.0%16.4%2.0%
Thursday43970.4%19.1%1.6%
Friday43676.4%16.5%0.7%
Saturday32274.5%15.2%1.9%
Sunday46068.3%19.6%3.7%

Which airline was most reliable for PHL to BNA?

Among qualifying PHL-to-BNA airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 84.4% of 224 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 66.0% across 144 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,05969.9%20.8%2.5%
Southwest Airlines91077.0%13.3%1.1%
PSA Airlines41072.0%16.1%4.4%
Republic Airways22484.4%9.8%1.8%
Frontier Airlines14466.0%24.3%3.5%
Spirit Airlines6976.8%14.5%2.9%

Which month was most reliable for PHL to BNA?

Among qualifying PHL-to-BNA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 81.8% of 236 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 62.7% across 204 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202523365.7%23.6%3.4%
August 202524676.4%17.5%0.0%
September 202523681.8%12.3%0.0%
October 202528572.6%17.9%0.7%
November 202522574.7%18.2%1.8%
December 202520462.7%27.5%1.0%
January 202619577.9%8.2%8.2%
February 202620275.7%13.4%5.4%
March 202624375.3%16.5%1.6%
April 202624279.3%13.2%1.2%
May 202624569.8%17.1%1.2%
June 202626071.2%16.2%4.6%

What drove PHL to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded PHL-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 49.0% of 50,192 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline28.5%
Late aircraft49.0%
National airspace17.5%
Weather4.9%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.