BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→PHL

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Philadelphia, PA (PHL) flight delay odds

72.6% of 2,816 official scheduled BNA-to-PHL flights arrived on time; 16.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
72.6%arrived on time
16.5%30+ min late
2.5%cancelled
2,816scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to PHL?

Among qualifying BNA-to-PHL departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.2% of 465 flights. Evening was lowest at 59.8% across 592 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning46586.2%7.1%3.2%
Late morning76083.9%9.5%1.6%
Afternoon96165.9%20.6%1.9%
Evening59259.8%24.7%3.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to PHL?

Among qualifying BNA-to-PHL weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 76.4% of 369 flights. Sunday was lowest at 68.3% across 458 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday43669.3%19.0%3.4%
Tuesday36976.4%14.6%3.0%
Wednesday35476.3%12.1%2.0%
Thursday44071.4%18.6%1.4%
Friday43674.5%16.7%0.9%
Saturday32373.7%14.6%1.9%
Sunday45868.3%17.9%4.4%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to PHL?

Among qualifying BNA-to-PHL airline results, Spirit Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 81.2% of 69 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 61.8% across 144 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,06075.1%15.8%2.5%
Southwest Airlines91070.2%17.3%0.9%
PSA Airlines41073.4%14.1%4.9%
Republic Airways22373.1%15.2%4.0%
Frontier Airlines14461.8%27.1%3.5%
Spirit Airlines6981.2%11.6%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to PHL?

Among qualifying BNA-to-PHL month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 77.8% of 234 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 65.2% across 233 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202523365.2%22.3%3.9%
August 202524774.9%15.4%0.0%
September 202523477.8%13.2%0.4%
October 202528472.9%17.3%0.4%
November 202522574.2%20.0%0.9%
December 202520472.1%18.1%2.9%
January 202619574.4%8.7%8.2%
February 202620268.3%16.8%6.9%
March 202624375.7%14.0%1.6%
April 202624474.6%18.9%1.2%
May 202624571.8%15.1%1.6%
June 202626068.8%16.9%3.5%

What drove BNA to PHL delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-PHL delay category, accounting for 55.7% of 54,794 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline29.6%
Late aircraft55.7%
National airspace12.0%
Weather2.3%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.