BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PDX→SMF

Portland, OR (PDX) to Sacramento, CA (SMF) flight delay odds

82.1% of 1,989 official scheduled PDX-to-SMF flights arrived on time; 10.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.1%arrived on time
10.9%30+ min late
0.3%cancelled
1,989scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+3.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for PDX to SMF?

Among qualifying PDX-to-SMF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 96.4% of 439 flights. Night was lowest at 56.7% across 150 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning43996.4%1.4%0.5%
Late morning36180.1%8.9%0.6%
Afternoon42486.3%7.5%0.2%
Evening61576.3%15.4%0.0%
Night15056.7%34.0%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for PDX to SMF?

Among qualifying PDX-to-SMF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 90.9% of 285 flights. Thursday was lowest at 74.3% across 311 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday31678.5%13.3%0.3%
Tuesday28590.9%5.3%0.0%
Wednesday27088.1%8.1%0.4%
Thursday31174.3%13.5%0.0%
Friday31476.4%16.6%0.3%
Saturday19886.9%7.6%0.0%
Sunday29582.7%9.5%1.0%

Which airline was most reliable for PDX to SMF?

Among qualifying PDX-to-SMF airline results, Alaska Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 93.0% of 328 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 78.3% across 1,205 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,20578.3%13.1%0.2%
SkyWest Airlines45684.2%10.3%0.2%
Alaska Airlines32893.0%3.4%0.9%

Which month was most reliable for PDX to SMF?

Among qualifying PDX-to-SMF month results, January 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 88.8% of 160 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 73.7% across 190 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521578.1%14.0%0.5%
August 202519082.6%10.5%0.5%
September 202516484.8%8.5%0.0%
October 202517783.1%11.9%0.0%
November 202513082.3%9.2%1.5%
December 202513773.7%18.2%0.0%
January 202616088.8%4.4%0.0%
February 202614486.1%4.2%0.7%
March 202615883.5%8.2%0.0%
April 202615887.3%6.3%0.0%
May 202616682.5%13.3%0.0%
June 202619073.7%18.9%0.5%

What drove PDX to SMF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded PDX-to-SMF delay category, accounting for 68.8% of 18,138 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.7%
Late aircraft68.8%
National airspace7.0%
Weather1.0%
Security0.5%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.