BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PDXMSP

Portland, OR (PDX) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

Historically, 90.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,513 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
90.3%arrived on time
5.1%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
1,513scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late2.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late0.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-6.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning44195.0%1.4%0.2%
Late morning25190.0%4.0%0.4%
Afternoon52687.1%7.8%0.8%
Evening4170.7%19.5%0.0%
Night25492.1%4.7%0.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday22487.9%8.5%0.4%
Tuesday22289.6%4.1%0.0%
Wednesday21691.7%6.0%0.5%
Thursday22091.4%4.1%0.0%
Friday22492.4%4.0%0.4%
Saturday20092.5%2.5%0.5%
Sunday20786.5%6.3%1.9%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,33090.1%5.6%0.6%
Alaska Airlines18391.8%1.6%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515077.3%14.0%0.0%
August 202513991.4%5.8%0.0%
September 202512794.5%3.9%0.0%
October 202515196.7%1.3%0.7%
November 202514293.0%3.5%0.0%
December 202512077.5%13.3%0.8%
January 20268394.0%2.4%1.2%
February 20267894.9%1.3%0.0%
March 202610193.1%3.0%3.0%
April 202611794.9%0.9%0.9%
May 202614295.1%2.1%0.0%
June 202616385.9%6.1%0.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline51.8%
Late aircraft37.0%
National airspace11.2%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.