BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PAE→PHX

Everett, WA (PAE) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

83.7% of 594 official scheduled PAE-to-PHX flights arrived on time; 9.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.7%arrived on time
9.9%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
594scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.7 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for PAE to PHX?

Among qualifying PAE-to-PHX departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.7% of 156 flights. Early morning was lowest at 80.0% across 125 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning12580.0%9.6%2.4%
Late morning15691.7%4.5%1.3%
Afternoon28883.0%11.8%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for PAE to PHX?

Among qualifying PAE-to-PHX weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 93.1% of 72 flights. Monday was lowest at 74.3% across 101 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10174.3%17.8%2.0%
Tuesday7986.1%6.3%0.0%
Wednesday7183.1%9.9%1.4%
Thursday8788.5%6.9%1.1%
Friday9386.0%9.7%1.1%
Saturday7293.1%5.6%0.0%
Sunday9178.0%11.0%2.2%

Which airline was most reliable for PAE to PHX?

Among qualifying PAE-to-PHX airline results, Alaska Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 84.8% of 553 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 68.3% across 41 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Alaska Airlines55384.8%9.2%1.3%
Frontier Airlines4168.3%19.5%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for PAE to PHX?

Among qualifying PAE-to-PHX month results, June 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 93.3% of 30 flights. November 2025 was lowest at 63.6% across 66 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256988.4%7.2%2.9%
August 20254386.0%9.3%4.7%
October 20255786.0%5.3%1.8%
November 20256663.6%21.2%0.0%
December 20256487.5%7.8%0.0%
January 20265168.6%17.6%3.9%
February 20265188.2%9.8%0.0%
March 20266290.3%8.1%0.0%
April 20265689.3%3.6%0.0%
May 20263889.5%10.5%0.0%
June 20263093.3%3.3%0.0%

What drove PAE to PHX delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded PAE-to-PHX delay category, accounting for 47.5% of 7,281 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline21.2%
Late aircraft47.5%
National airspace28.0%
Weather2.9%
Security0.5%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.