BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PAEPHX

Everett, WA (PAE) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

Historically, 83.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 594 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.7%arrived on time
9.9%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
594scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.7 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning12580.0%9.6%2.4%
Late morning15691.7%4.5%1.3%
Afternoon28883.0%11.8%0.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10174.3%17.8%2.0%
Tuesday7986.1%6.3%0.0%
Wednesday7183.1%9.9%1.4%
Thursday8788.5%6.9%1.1%
Friday9386.0%9.7%1.1%
Saturday7293.1%5.6%0.0%
Sunday9178.0%11.0%2.2%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Alaska Airlines55384.8%9.2%1.3%
Frontier Airlines4168.3%19.5%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256988.4%7.2%2.9%
August 20254386.0%9.3%4.7%
September 2025757.1%28.6%0.0%
October 20255786.0%5.3%1.8%
November 20256663.6%21.2%0.0%
December 20256487.5%7.8%0.0%
January 20265168.6%17.6%3.9%
February 20265188.2%9.8%0.0%
March 20266290.3%8.1%0.0%
April 20265689.3%3.6%0.0%
May 20263889.5%10.5%0.0%
June 20263093.3%3.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline21.2%
Late aircraft47.5%
National airspace28.0%
Weather2.9%
Security0.5%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.