BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORF→IAD

Norfolk, VA (ORF) to Washington, DC (IAD) flight delay odds

87.5% of 670 official scheduled ORF-to-IAD flights arrived on time; 6.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
87.5%arrived on time
6.4%30+ min late
2.8%cancelled
670scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-4.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORF to IAD?

Among qualifying ORF-to-IAD departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.1% of 140 flights. Evening was lowest at 81.4% across 167 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning29389.1%6.1%2.4%
Late morning14092.1%3.6%0.0%
Afternoon7085.7%8.6%0.0%
Evening16781.4%8.4%7.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORF to IAD?

Among qualifying ORF-to-IAD weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 91.2% of 68 flights. Monday was lowest at 82.9% across 111 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday11182.9%9.0%3.6%
Tuesday9190.1%2.2%3.3%
Wednesday9190.1%4.4%3.3%
Thursday9986.9%10.1%1.0%
Friday10088.0%5.0%2.0%
Saturday6891.2%4.4%1.5%
Sunday11085.5%8.2%4.5%

Which airline was most reliable for ORF to IAD?

Among qualifying ORF-to-IAD airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 92.7% of 329 flights. Republic Airways was lowest at 82.4% across 341 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways34182.4%8.8%5.3%
United Airlines32992.7%4.0%0.3%

Which month was most reliable for ORF to IAD?

Among qualifying ORF-to-IAD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 97.1% of 69 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 72.1% across 43 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20254372.1%9.3%11.6%
August 20258492.9%4.8%1.2%
September 20256997.1%0.0%0.0%
October 20253786.5%10.8%0.0%
November 20256581.5%9.2%6.2%
December 20257781.8%11.7%1.3%
January 20265178.4%7.8%11.8%
February 20263677.8%16.7%2.8%
March 20263582.9%8.6%2.9%
April 20265196.1%3.9%0.0%
May 20266296.8%1.6%0.0%
June 20266093.3%0.0%0.0%

What drove ORF to IAD delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORF-to-IAD delay category, accounting for 41.3% of 5,178 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline41.0%
Late aircraft41.3%
National airspace15.3%
Weather2.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.