BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
IAD→ORF

Washington, DC (IAD) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

80.0% of 671 official scheduled IAD-to-ORF flights arrived on time; 10.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
80.0%arrived on time
10.3%30+ min late
2.5%cancelled
671scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for IAD to ORF?

Among qualifying IAD-to-ORF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 94.2% of 139 flights. Evening was lowest at 74.3% across 175 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning13994.2%2.2%0.0%
Afternoon7085.7%8.6%0.0%
Evening17574.3%13.7%6.3%
Night28775.3%12.5%2.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for IAD to ORF?

Among qualifying IAD-to-ORF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 90.2% of 92 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.6% across 111 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10184.2%6.9%3.0%
Tuesday9290.2%3.3%2.2%
Wednesday9387.1%8.6%3.2%
Thursday10673.6%16.0%1.9%
Friday9181.3%11.0%0.0%
Saturday7779.2%9.1%3.9%
Sunday11167.6%15.3%3.6%

Which airline was most reliable for IAD to ORF?

Among qualifying IAD-to-ORF airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 84.2% of 330 flights. Republic Airways was lowest at 76.0% across 341 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways34176.0%12.9%4.7%
United Airlines33084.2%7.6%0.3%

Which month was most reliable for IAD to ORF?

Among qualifying IAD-to-ORF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 95.6% of 68 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 65.7% across 35 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20254465.9%22.7%9.1%
August 20258485.7%6.0%1.2%
September 20256895.6%1.5%0.0%
October 20253886.8%13.2%0.0%
November 20256572.3%12.3%6.2%
December 20257669.7%19.7%1.3%
January 20265271.2%11.5%11.5%
February 20263680.6%8.3%0.0%
March 20263565.7%17.1%2.9%
April 20265186.3%7.8%0.0%
May 20266291.9%4.8%0.0%
June 20266080.0%5.0%0.0%

What drove IAD to ORF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded IAD-to-ORF delay category, accounting for 50.4% of 7,744 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline31.7%
Late aircraft50.4%
National airspace9.5%
Weather8.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.