BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→RDU

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) flight delay odds

71.7% of 3,592 official scheduled ORD-to-RDU flights arrived on time; 18.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
71.7%arrived on time
18.0%30+ min late
2.1%cancelled
3,592scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to RDU?

Among qualifying ORD-to-RDU departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.5% of 695 flights. Evening was lowest at 59.3% across 1,060 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning69584.5%9.2%0.9%
Late morning85579.1%12.7%0.9%
Afternoon92369.8%18.1%2.1%
Evening1,06059.3%27.9%3.7%
Night5966.1%20.3%6.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to RDU?

Among qualifying ORD-to-RDU weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 78.2% of 490 flights. Sunday was lowest at 68.5% across 555 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday55370.7%17.7%2.5%
Tuesday49078.2%14.5%0.4%
Wednesday48373.7%18.0%1.2%
Thursday53870.6%18.4%1.9%
Friday53468.5%19.1%1.3%
Saturday43972.7%17.1%3.6%
Sunday55568.5%20.9%3.8%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to RDU?

Among qualifying ORD-to-RDU airline results, SkyWest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 79.1% of 67 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 59.6% across 555 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,29876.0%14.7%1.0%
Republic Airways1,01871.3%17.3%2.8%
American Airlines55559.6%29.9%3.4%
Envoy Air52175.8%14.6%1.7%
Frontier Airlines13163.4%22.1%4.6%
SkyWest Airlines6779.1%13.4%0.0%
PSA Airlines250.0%50.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to RDU?

Among qualifying ORD-to-RDU month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 81.6% of 266 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 63.9% across 277 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202527763.9%26.0%1.1%
August 202527371.8%17.6%2.2%
September 202526681.6%10.2%0.0%
October 202532874.1%14.6%0.3%
November 202530871.8%17.5%3.9%
December 202529166.0%25.8%1.0%
January 202623265.9%19.8%8.2%
February 202624475.0%14.3%0.4%
March 202631665.5%21.5%2.8%
April 202635669.4%20.2%2.0%
May 202637480.2%12.8%1.3%
June 202632773.1%16.8%3.1%

What drove ORD to RDU delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-RDU delay category, accounting for 46.9% of 73,584 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline28.1%
Late aircraft46.9%
National airspace17.1%
Weather7.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.