BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→ORF

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

69.7% of 1,863 official scheduled ORD-to-ORF flights arrived on time; 19.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
69.7%arrived on time
19.8%30+ min late
2.6%cancelled
1,863scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to ORF?

Among qualifying ORD-to-ORF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.1% of 274 flights. Evening was lowest at 58.6% across 708 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning27486.1%6.2%0.4%
Late morning49573.5%20.2%0.6%
Afternoon34973.9%15.5%2.0%
Evening70858.6%27.0%5.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to ORF?

Among qualifying ORD-to-ORF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 76.1% of 268 flights. Monday was lowest at 65.2% across 273 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27365.2%20.5%5.1%
Tuesday26876.1%12.7%1.5%
Wednesday26373.0%19.8%1.1%
Thursday26769.7%18.7%3.4%
Friday26765.5%22.8%1.9%
Saturday25869.8%20.5%3.5%
Sunday26768.5%23.2%1.9%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to ORF?

Among qualifying ORD-to-ORF airline results, Envoy Air had the highest on-time rate: 81.4% of 397 flights. PSA Airlines was lowest at 46.2% across 186 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines69065.7%23.3%1.7%
Republic Airways42876.2%15.9%1.4%
Envoy Air39781.4%11.3%2.0%
PSA Airlines18646.2%37.1%10.8%
SkyWest Airlines15667.9%14.7%1.9%
American Airlines666.7%33.3%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to ORF?

Among qualifying ORD-to-ORF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 81.1% of 143 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 52.9% across 157 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515263.2%26.3%2.0%
August 202512675.4%14.3%3.2%
September 202514381.1%13.3%0.0%
October 202517080.6%10.6%0.0%
November 202514468.8%20.8%2.1%
December 202515752.9%35.0%1.9%
January 202610759.8%26.2%8.4%
February 202612561.6%27.2%0.0%
March 202615563.2%24.5%6.5%
April 202617368.8%17.9%5.2%
May 202621176.8%14.2%0.5%
June 202620076.0%13.5%3.5%

What drove ORD to ORF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-ORF delay category, accounting for 48.2% of 35,278 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline28.0%
Late aircraft48.2%
National airspace16.3%
Weather7.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.