BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→MSP

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

68.0% of 6,324 official scheduled ORD-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 20.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.0%arrived on time
20.6%30+ min late
2.3%cancelled
6,324scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+18.7 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to MSP?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 81.2% of 1,605 flights. Evening was lowest at 56.2% across 1,604 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,60581.2%12.0%1.4%
Late morning67774.9%15.8%1.0%
Afternoon1,99766.4%21.8%1.6%
Evening1,60456.2%28.3%3.3%
Night44158.5%25.6%6.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to MSP?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MSP weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 71.4% of 898 flights. Friday was lowest at 65.9% across 928 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday95367.7%21.5%2.5%
Tuesday89871.4%17.0%1.0%
Wednesday87468.3%22.1%1.0%
Thursday94166.0%20.7%2.8%
Friday92865.9%21.0%2.2%
Saturday78170.8%18.2%2.9%
Sunday94966.3%23.2%3.5%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to MSP?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MSP airline results, Envoy Air had the highest on-time rate: 72.0% of 1,084 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 50.4% across 137 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines2,40168.6%19.6%1.0%
Delta Air Lines1,41167.5%21.6%2.0%
Envoy Air1,08472.0%17.8%2.8%
SkyWest Airlines70264.8%23.4%3.4%
Republic Airways53367.5%19.5%6.2%
American Airlines13750.4%39.4%0.7%
PSA Airlines4365.1%20.9%4.7%
Frontier Airlines1346.2%30.8%7.7%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to MSP?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MSP month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 77.2% of 570 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 48.8% across 500 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202554464.9%25.6%2.0%
August 202554268.5%20.1%0.9%
September 202553670.9%18.5%0.4%
October 202557476.7%14.8%0.0%
November 202551268.9%16.4%5.5%
December 202550048.8%36.8%2.4%
January 202645164.7%24.2%1.3%
February 202644270.8%17.6%0.0%
March 202653558.7%24.3%7.7%
April 202658371.9%19.4%2.6%
May 202657077.2%14.0%0.9%
June 202653570.8%17.4%3.6%

What drove ORD to MSP delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 39.8% of 151,334 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline30.1%
Late aircraft39.8%
National airspace17.6%
Weather12.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.