BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→ORD

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

68.1% of 6,324 official scheduled MSP-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 19.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.1%arrived on time
19.5%30+ min late
2.4%cancelled
6,324scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+17.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to ORD?

Among qualifying MSP-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 80.6% of 1,839 flights. Evening was lowest at 54.5% across 1,489 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,83980.6%10.3%2.3%
Late morning1,43376.0%15.1%1.0%
Afternoon1,54759.1%25.3%2.3%
Evening1,48954.5%29.0%3.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to ORD?

Among qualifying MSP-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 73.4% of 899 flights. Friday was lowest at 63.4% across 934 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday95068.0%19.5%3.4%
Tuesday89973.4%17.1%1.3%
Wednesday88270.9%19.0%1.1%
Thursday93667.7%19.1%2.4%
Friday93463.4%20.8%2.4%
Saturday77770.4%18.0%2.6%
Sunday94663.4%22.8%3.6%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to ORD?

Among qualifying MSP-to-ORD airline results, Envoy Air had the highest on-time rate: 71.8% of 1,084 flights. PSA Airlines was lowest at 53.5% across 43 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines2,39868.6%18.6%1.4%
Delta Air Lines1,41265.7%20.7%1.8%
Envoy Air1,08471.8%17.6%2.9%
SkyWest Airlines70465.1%23.0%3.4%
Republic Airways53271.1%16.9%6.6%
American Airlines13864.5%27.5%0.7%
PSA Airlines4353.5%30.2%2.3%
Frontier Airlines1338.5%38.5%7.7%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to ORD?

Among qualifying MSP-to-ORD month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 79.5% of 572 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 48.4% across 502 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202554462.5%25.0%1.3%
August 202554267.7%20.7%1.7%
September 202553673.3%14.4%0.2%
October 202557472.5%15.7%0.0%
November 202551267.8%19.7%5.5%
December 202550248.4%34.9%3.4%
January 202644858.5%23.9%1.8%
February 202644278.3%11.3%0.2%
March 202653563.4%21.9%7.9%
April 202658373.1%16.1%3.3%
May 202657279.5%12.2%0.9%
June 202653469.3%20.0%2.8%

What drove MSP to ORD delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded MSP-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 39.6% of 148,073 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline25.0%
Late aircraft27.5%
National airspace39.6%
Weather7.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.