BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→MIA

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Miami, FL (MIA) flight delay odds

72.4% of 4,450 official scheduled ORD-to-MIA flights arrived on time; 17.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.4%arrived on time
17.0%30+ min late
2.0%cancelled
4,450scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to MIA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MIA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.8% of 1,763 flights. Evening was lowest at 56.7% across 764 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,76383.8%8.9%1.4%
Late morning91771.0%18.9%0.9%
Afternoon1,00265.5%22.1%1.6%
Evening76456.7%26.8%5.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to MIA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MIA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 79.3% of 623 flights. Sunday was lowest at 62.5% across 654 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday64971.3%17.7%3.4%
Tuesday62379.3%11.9%1.6%
Wednesday59678.0%12.4%1.3%
Thursday63975.0%15.3%1.1%
Friday65070.8%17.1%2.0%
Saturday63970.4%19.6%1.4%
Sunday65462.5%24.6%2.8%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to MIA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MIA airline results, American Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.0% of 3,015 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 57.5% across 348 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines3,01574.0%16.5%1.9%
United Airlines1,04172.9%15.3%0.6%
Spirit Airlines34857.5%26.4%6.3%
Frontier Airlines4663.0%21.7%2.2%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to MIA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MIA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 83.1% of 313 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 61.4% across 497 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202533867.5%19.8%2.4%
August 202533474.3%15.9%1.5%
September 202531383.1%10.9%0.0%
October 202532983.0%11.9%0.0%
November 202534775.8%14.7%2.9%
December 202538668.9%22.3%1.3%
January 202641266.7%20.1%4.1%
February 202641177.6%12.7%1.0%
March 202649761.4%23.9%4.8%
April 202640172.6%14.2%1.2%
May 202635277.8%14.2%0.9%
June 202633066.1%20.3%1.8%

What drove ORD to MIA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-MIA delay category, accounting for 37.8% of 79,143 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline30.7%
Late aircraft37.8%
National airspace26.2%
Weather5.3%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.