BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MIA→ORD

Miami, FL (MIA) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

68.7% of 4,447 official scheduled MIA-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 19.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.7%arrived on time
19.2%30+ min late
2.0%cancelled
4,447scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MIA to ORD?

Among qualifying MIA-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.1% of 914 flights. Evening was lowest at 56.0% across 1,014 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning91484.1%8.6%1.8%
Late morning42683.1%9.9%0.7%
Afternoon1,69263.8%23.5%2.0%
Evening1,01456.0%26.1%2.2%
Night40171.1%17.7%3.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for MIA to ORD?

Among qualifying MIA-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 74.9% of 622 flights. Sunday was lowest at 58.9% across 650 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday64863.4%21.0%4.0%
Tuesday62274.9%15.3%1.1%
Wednesday59773.5%16.9%0.8%
Thursday64269.5%17.4%1.6%
Friday65268.7%18.9%1.4%
Saturday63672.6%19.0%1.1%
Sunday65058.9%25.5%3.5%

Which airline was most reliable for MIA to ORD?

Among qualifying MIA-to-ORD airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 71.7% of 46 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 58.7% across 346 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines3,01569.5%18.8%1.9%
United Airlines1,04069.6%18.6%0.9%
Spirit Airlines34658.7%24.3%6.1%
Frontier Airlines4671.7%21.7%2.2%

Which month was most reliable for MIA to ORD?

Among qualifying MIA-to-ORD month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 77.4% of 323 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 54.9% across 337 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202533754.9%30.3%2.1%
August 202533361.6%24.6%1.8%
September 202531571.1%17.1%0.0%
October 202532377.4%14.6%0.0%
November 202534775.2%14.1%3.2%
December 202538373.1%14.9%1.3%
January 202641570.1%19.8%3.4%
February 202641270.4%16.3%0.7%
March 202649859.4%24.7%4.8%
April 202640073.2%14.5%1.8%
May 202635473.4%16.4%0.6%
June 202633066.7%22.7%2.4%

What drove MIA to ORD delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded MIA-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 35.0% of 94,549 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline25.6%
Late aircraft32.1%
National airspace35.0%
Weather7.2%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.