BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORDMCO

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

Historically, 70.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 6,347 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
70.7%arrived on time
19.0%30+ min late
1.6%cancelled
6,347scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,55485.5%8.0%1.0%
Late morning1,46370.9%17.1%1.5%
Afternoon1,98965.8%22.5%1.6%
Evening1,33560.4%28.5%2.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday93167.7%21.8%2.6%
Tuesday86476.5%14.7%1.2%
Wednesday82075.0%15.9%1.2%
Thursday91375.8%15.0%1.3%
Friday94668.4%19.7%1.6%
Saturday92967.9%21.3%1.5%
Sunday94464.5%23.6%1.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines2,45977.8%13.8%0.6%
American Airlines2,14062.5%25.4%2.3%
Southwest Airlines80172.7%15.9%1.1%
Spirit Airlines58269.2%20.1%3.1%
Frontier Airlines36567.9%21.1%2.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202551362.8%25.5%0.8%
August 202549567.3%22.4%1.6%
September 202545485.9%7.5%0.2%
October 202553579.1%12.3%0.7%
November 202550375.5%16.5%3.0%
December 202555267.6%23.6%0.5%
January 202654067.6%20.9%2.4%
February 202655178.9%12.3%0.0%
March 202668863.4%21.8%4.8%
April 202658365.9%20.9%1.7%
May 202650272.3%19.3%0.4%
June 202643165.2%23.0%1.4%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline24.8%
Late aircraft46.7%
National airspace24.2%
Weather4.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.