BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→MCO

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

70.7% of 6,347 official scheduled ORD-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 19.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
70.7%arrived on time
19.0%30+ min late
1.6%cancelled
6,347scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to MCO?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MCO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.5% of 1,554 flights. Evening was lowest at 60.4% across 1,335 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,55485.5%8.0%1.0%
Late morning1,46370.9%17.1%1.5%
Afternoon1,98965.8%22.5%1.6%
Evening1,33560.4%28.5%2.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to MCO?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MCO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 76.5% of 864 flights. Sunday was lowest at 64.5% across 944 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday93167.7%21.8%2.6%
Tuesday86476.5%14.7%1.2%
Wednesday82075.0%15.9%1.2%
Thursday91375.8%15.0%1.3%
Friday94668.4%19.7%1.6%
Saturday92967.9%21.3%1.5%
Sunday94464.5%23.6%1.5%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to MCO?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MCO airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 77.8% of 2,459 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 62.5% across 2,140 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines2,45977.8%13.8%0.6%
American Airlines2,14062.5%25.4%2.3%
Southwest Airlines80172.7%15.9%1.1%
Spirit Airlines58269.2%20.1%3.1%
Frontier Airlines36567.9%21.1%2.2%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to MCO?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MCO month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 85.9% of 454 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 62.8% across 513 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202551362.8%25.5%0.8%
August 202549567.3%22.4%1.6%
September 202545485.9%7.5%0.2%
October 202553579.1%12.3%0.7%
November 202550375.5%16.5%3.0%
December 202555267.6%23.6%0.5%
January 202654067.6%20.9%2.4%
February 202655178.9%12.3%0.0%
March 202668863.4%21.8%4.8%
April 202658365.9%20.9%1.7%
May 202650272.3%19.3%0.4%
June 202643165.2%23.0%1.4%

What drove ORD to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 46.7% of 131,232 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline24.8%
Late aircraft46.7%
National airspace24.2%
Weather4.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.