BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→ORD

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

68.9% of 6,350 official scheduled MCO-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 19.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.9%arrived on time
19.5%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
6,350scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.8%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+16.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to ORD?

Among qualifying MCO-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.2% of 1,200 flights. Evening was lowest at 53.6% across 1,347 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,20086.2%7.9%1.2%
Late morning1,30683.9%8.1%1.1%
Afternoon2,31461.3%24.0%1.6%
Evening1,34753.6%31.5%2.5%
Night18354.6%31.7%7.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to ORD?

Among qualifying MCO-to-ORD weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 75.7% of 831 flights. Sunday was lowest at 62.5% across 946 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday93168.6%21.4%1.9%
Tuesday85375.4%16.3%1.2%
Wednesday83175.7%16.4%1.1%
Thursday91268.6%15.9%1.8%
Friday94065.9%18.9%1.9%
Saturday93766.7%20.2%1.6%
Sunday94662.5%26.6%2.7%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to ORD?

Among qualifying MCO-to-ORD airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.3% of 2,459 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 57.3% across 583 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines2,45974.3%14.6%0.9%
American Airlines2,14266.8%21.2%2.2%
Southwest Airlines80065.5%22.2%1.4%
Spirit Airlines58357.3%29.2%4.1%
Frontier Airlines36670.2%20.5%2.5%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to ORD?

Among qualifying MCO-to-ORD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 84.2% of 456 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 56.3% across 689 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202551263.1%27.7%1.0%
August 202549463.6%24.9%2.2%
September 202545684.2%10.1%0.2%
October 202553373.5%16.3%0.6%
November 202550673.3%18.2%3.0%
December 202555365.8%22.6%0.7%
January 202653969.4%15.0%2.4%
February 202655370.3%15.9%0.5%
March 202668956.3%26.0%5.1%
April 202658266.8%19.8%2.1%
May 202650372.6%17.3%0.6%
June 202643074.2%17.0%1.6%

What drove MCO to ORD delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded MCO-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 35.7% of 144,356 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.5%
Late aircraft35.4%
National airspace35.7%
Weather6.3%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.